Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samambaense U20 vs Capital DF U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capital DF U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capital DF U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Samambaense U20
15%
Draws
85%
Capital DF U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capital DF U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capital DF U20 lately — more wins on the board than Samambaense U20.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Capital DF U20 taking it.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Capital DF U20 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Samambaense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samambaense U20 Capital DF U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 22
Draws 1 4
Losses 25 5
Goals Scored 0.47 3.45
Goals Conceded 4.93 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Samambaense U20
6:0
Jun 15, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Samambaense U20
5:0
Jun 24, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Samambaense U20 vs Capital DF U20
1:3
Jul 17, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Samambaense U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samambaense U20 10 / 100
Capital DF U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samambaense U20 Capital DF U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital DF U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Samambaense U20 scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Capital DF U20 let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Capital DF U20 has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samambaense U20 VS Capital DF U20
0.63 Goals Scored 5.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Samambaense U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaense U20
0 : 4
Gama U20
05 Jul
Brazlandia U20
3 : 0
Samambaense U20
27 Jun
Samambaense U20
2 : 4
Legiao U20
23 Jun
Capital DF U20
6 : 0
Samambaense U20
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Capital DF U20

(Away)
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0
Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0
Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Capital DF U20
5 : 0
Planaltina U20
02 Aug
Planaltina U20
1 : 1
Capital DF U20
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2
Gama U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)