Sport Picks
Samambaia U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20 Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Brasiliense U20 2023 
AI Match Summary
Gremio Valparaiso U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Valparaiso U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samambaia U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Samambaia U20 at 2.3 per game, Gremio Valparaiso U20 at 1.9.
- Model gives Samambaia U20 a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Samambaia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samambaia U20 | Gremio Valparaiso U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 19, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Samambaia U20
2:2
May 28, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Samambaia U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samambaia U20 85 / 100
Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samambaia U20 Gremio Valparaiso U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Samambaia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samambaia U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Gremio Valparaiso U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Samambaia U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Samambaia U20 VS Gremio Valparaiso U20
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Samambaia U20
(Home) 08 Aug
Real Brasilia U20
1 : 0 Samambaia U20
01 Aug
Samambaia U20
0 : 0 Real Brasilia U20
25 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 4 Samambaia U20
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0 Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0 Candango U20
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01 Aug
Samambaia U20
0 : 0 Real Brasilia U20
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0 Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0 Candango U20
28 Jun
Samambaia U20
0 : 0 Brasiliense U20
13 Jun
Samambaia U20
1 : 0 Brazlandia U20
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Gremio Valparaiso U20
(Away) 26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2 Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0 Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2 Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4 Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0 Gremio Valparaiso U20
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19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0 Gremio Valparaiso U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0 Gremio Valparaiso U20
14 Jun
Paranoa U20
1 : 3 Gremio Valparaiso U20
24 May
Brasilia U20
3 : 2 Gremio Valparaiso U20
16 May
Luziania U20
1 : 3 Gremio Valparaiso U20
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasiliense U20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Canaa U20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Luziania U20 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | ARUC U20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Gremio Valparaiso U20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Botafogo DF U20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15:22 | 9 |
| 7 | Samambaia U20 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 8 | Brasilia U20 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:20 | 5 |
| 9 | Ceilandense U20 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:24 | 1 |
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital DF U20 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Gama U20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Santa Maria U20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Brazlandia U20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Paranoa U20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Real Brasilia U20 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 15:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Planaltina U20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 10 |
| 8 | Legiao U20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:18 | 6 |
| 9 | Samambaense U20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4:37 | 0 |
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)
