Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samaritaine vs Golden Lion

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Samaritaine and Golden Lion finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Golden Lion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Samaritaine
30%
Draws
54%
Golden Lion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Golden Lion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Golden Lion come out ahead of Samaritaine on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Golden Lion taking it.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 15%
Golden Lion Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Golden Lion
Matches Played 39 37
Wins 18 25
Draws 12 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.13 2.68
Goals Conceded 1.08 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Samaritaine
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Lion
2:3
Nov 30, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Samaritaine
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Samaritaine
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Lion
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 19 / 100
Golden Lion 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Golden Lion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Golden Lion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samaritaine found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (39 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Golden Lion let in goals in 57% of their last 37 matches.

Solid form: Samaritaine remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS Golden Lion
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
Page 1 of 8

Golden Lion

(Away)
12 Sept
RC Riviere-Pilote
0 : 1
Golden Lion
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
Club Peleen
1 : 2
Golden Lion
16 May
Golden Lion
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)