Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samartex vs Berekum Chelsea

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Samartex Park, Tarkwa
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mankuyeli M.
16'
Afful I.
28'
Seidu M.

AI Match Summary

Samartex in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samartex.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Samartex
20%
Draws
42%
Berekum Chelsea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Berekum Chelsea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Samartex haven't matched Berekum Chelsea's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Samartex taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Samartex Clean Sheet 68%
Berekum Chelsea Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samartex Berekum Chelsea
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Samartex vs Berekum Chelsea
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Samartex
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 Premier League
Berekum Chelsea vs Samartex
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Premier League
Samartex vs Berekum Chelsea
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Premier League
Samartex vs Berekum Chelsea
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samartex Compare

Top Goalscorer Mankuyeli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Berekum Chelsea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samartex 50 / 100
Berekum Chelsea 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samartex Berekum Chelsea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samartex Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Samartex stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Samartex found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Berekum Chelsea let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Samartex VS Berekum Chelsea
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samartex

(Home)
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
06 Sept
Samartex
3 : 1
Karela
30 Aug
Samartex
1 : 1
Bibiani Gold Stars
28 Aug
Medeama U19
0 : 1
Samartex
26 Aug
Samartex
0 : 0
Dreams FC
Page 1 of 6

Berekum Chelsea

(Away)
13 Sept
Berekum Chelsea
3 : 1
Dreams FC
06 Sept
Hearts of Oak
4 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
24 May
Berekum Chelsea
3 : 2
Bechem United
17 May
Eleven Wonders
0 : 2
Berekum Chelsea
10 May
Berekum Chelsea
1 : 0
Dreams FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)