Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samartex vs Holy Stars

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Samartex Park, Tarkwa
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sarpong A.
15' Event
Gyetuah F.
32' Event
Tweneboah P.

AI Match Summary

Samartex in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samartex.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Samartex
30%
Draws
28%
Holy Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Samartex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Holy Stars have won more games recently than Samartex.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Samartex taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samartex here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Samartex Clean Sheet 20%
Holy Stars Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samartex Holy Stars
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Samartex vs Holy Stars
3:1
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Holy Stars vs Samartex
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Samartex vs Holy Stars
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Holy Stars vs Samartex
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Holy Stars
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samartex Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarpong A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gyetuah F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Holy Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Tweneboah P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samartex 67 / 100
Holy Stars 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samartex Holy Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samartex Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samartex has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Holy Stars lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Samartex's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Samartex VS Holy Stars
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samartex

(Home)
27 Sept
Swedru All Blacks
1 : 1
Samartex
20 Sept
Samartex
1 : 1
Asante Kotoko
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
06 Sept
Samartex
3 : 1
Karela
30 Aug
Samartex
1 : 1
Bibiani Gold Stars
Page 1 of 6

Holy Stars

(Away)
27 Sept
Medeama
4 : 1
Holy Stars
20 Sept
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Ashanti
13 Sept
Young Apostles
1 : 0
Holy Stars
06 Sept
Holy Stars
1 : 0
Swedru All Blacks
27 May
Medeama
2 : 1
Holy Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)