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Samartex vs Medeama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Samartex Park, Tarkwa
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samartex host Medeama in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Samartex at 0.83 goals for, 0.77 against; Medeama at 1.65 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Samartex slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.06) point toward Medeama. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Samartex
35%
Draws
32%
Medeama
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Medeama come out ahead of Samartex on wins alone.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Samartex Clean Sheet 20%
Medeama Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samartex Medeama
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Samartex vs Medeama
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Ghanaian Cup
Medeama vs Samartex
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Medeama vs Samartex
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Samartex vs Medeama
1:0
Mar 19, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Medeama
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samartex 36 / 100
Medeama 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samartex Medeama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medeama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Samartex stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Samartex's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Medeama let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Samartex VS Medeama
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samartex

(Home)
04 Oct
Samartex
1 : 0
Young Apostles
27 Sept
Swedru All Blacks
1 : 1
Samartex
20 Sept
Samartex
1 : 1
Asante Kotoko
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
06 Sept
Samartex
3 : 1
Karela
Page 1 of 6

Medeama

(Away)
04 Oct
Debibi United
0 : 1
Medeama
30 Sept
Medeama
1 : 0
Port City
27 Sept
Medeama
4 : 1
Holy Stars
23 Sept
Dreams FC
2 : 2
Medeama
19 Sept
Vision
1 : 1
Medeama
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
2 Samartex 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
3 Port City 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
4 Aduana Stars 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
5 Holy Stars 5 3 0 2 4:5 9
6 Hearts of Oak 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
7 Heart of Lions 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Swedru All Blacks 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
9 Asante Kotoko 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Ashanti 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
11 Bechem United 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
12 Karela 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
13 Vision 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
14 Debibi United 5 1 1 3 6:6 4
15 Bibiani Gold Stars 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Berekum Chelsea 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 Young Apostles 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
18 Dreams FC 5 0 2 3 5:9 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)