Sport Picks
Sambenedettese vs Ascoli
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sbaffo A.
28'
28'
Konate A.
49'
49'
Rizzo N.
AI Match Summary
Sambenedettese in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ascoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ascoli lately — more wins on the board than Sambenedettese.
- 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Ascoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ascoli, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ascoli here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 14%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Ascoli
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sambenedettese vs Ascoli
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Sambenedettese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sambenedettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Sbaffo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Konate A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Rizzo N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sambenedettese 31 / 100
Ascoli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sambenedettese Ascoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Sambenedettese scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.
Ascoli's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sambenedettese VS Ascoli
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sambenedettese
(Home) 16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2 Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Sassari Torres
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
23 Aug
Sambenedettese
2 : 2 Forli FC
08 Aug
Sambenedettese
4 : 0 Lanciano FC
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5 Avellino
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Ascoli
(Away) 19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1 Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1 Ascoli
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0 Ascoli
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
