Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sambenedettese vs Avellino Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Fila D.
54' Event
Palumbo M.
78' Event
Biasci T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sambenedettese and Avellino finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avellino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Sambenedettese
20%
Draws
70%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sambenedettese haven't matched Avellino's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Avellino have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 17%
Avellino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambenedettese Avellino
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Sambenedettese vs Avellino
0:5
Aug 5, 2012 Coppa Italia
Avellino vs Sambenedettese
3:1
Apr 29, 2007 Lega Pro C1/B
Sambenedettese vs Avellino
2:0
Dec 10, 2006 Lega Pro C1/B
Avellino vs Sambenedettese
3:0
Mar 20, 2005 Lega Pro C1/B
Avellino vs Sambenedettese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambenedettese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Avellino Compare

Top Goalscorer Fila D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palumbo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 31 / 100
Avellino 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambenedettese Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Sambenedettese scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Avellino let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Sambenedettese went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS Avellino
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambenedettese

(Home)
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Spezia
Page 1 of 6

Avellino

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6