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Sambenedettese vs Forli FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Plicco E.
Assist: Sgarbi L.
32'
Perrotta F.
43' Event
Coveri V.
Assist: Macri D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sambenedettese
35%
Draws
39%
Forli FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forli FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Sambenedettese haven't matched Forli FC's recent run of results.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 68%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambenedettese Forli FC
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Forli FC
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Sambenedettese
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Forli FC
1:2
May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Forli FC vs Sambenedettese
3:1
Feb 12, 2017 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Forli FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambenedettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Plicco E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tunjov G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Coveri V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munaretti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 41 / 100
Forli FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambenedettese Forli FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambenedettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Forli FC conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sambenedettese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sambenedettese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS Forli FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambenedettese

(Home)
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
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Forli FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 17:4 25
2 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
4 Sassari Torres 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
5 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
6 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
7 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
8 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Ostiamare 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
13 Atalanta U23 7 3 0 4 8:11 9
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pianese 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
16 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
17 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 10:19 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)