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Sambenedettese vs Latina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sambenedettese host Latina in the Serie C - Group B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sambenedettese have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Latina's 1.23 scored and 1.1 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.56, favoring Latina. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sambenedettese
30%
Draws
39%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Latina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Latina come out ahead of Sambenedettese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sambenedettese a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 68%
Latina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambenedettese Latina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 50 / 100
Latina 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambenedettese Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambenedettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sambenedettese scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Latina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Sambenedettese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Latina has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS Latina
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambenedettese

(Home)
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6

Latina

(Away)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
3 Grosseto 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
13 Ostiamare 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
17 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)