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Sambiase vs Akragas

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Sun, May 4, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sambiase host Akragas in the Serie D - Group I 2024/2025. Sambiase are expected to control this from the start. Akragas have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Sambiase have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, Sambiase have won 1 to Akragas's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 4, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 0.94) point toward Sambiase. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Sambiase
20%
Draws
6%
Akragas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sambiase come out ahead of Akragas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sambiase's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 20%
Akragas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambiase Akragas
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 14 2
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Akragas
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Sambiase
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambiase 76 / 100
Akragas 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambiase Akragas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akragas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 23 matches.

Sambiase has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sambiase scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Akragas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sambiase VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambiase

(Home)
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
06 Sept
Sambiase
2 : 1
Gela
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Akragas

(Away)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)