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Sambiase vs Licata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Umbaca F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 game between Sambiase and Licata finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sambiase.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sambiase
20%
Draws
30%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sambiase come out ahead of Licata on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 68%
Licata Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambiase Licata
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.06 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Licata
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Sambiase
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambiase Compare

Top Goalscorer Umbaca F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Licata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambiase 41 / 100
Licata 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambiase Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sambiase's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Licata conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sambiase remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Licata lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sambiase VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambiase

(Home)
08 Aug
Salernitana
2 : 1
Sambiase
03 May
Reggina
4 : 2
Sambiase
26 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 1
Nissa
19 Apr
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
12 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 7

Licata

(Away)
11 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 0
Licata
04 May
Nissa
3 : 2
Licata
27 Apr
Licata
3 : 0
Pompei
17 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 0
Licata
13 Apr
Licata
2 : 3
Paterno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)