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Samegrelo vs FC Gardabani Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Samegrelo Logo

Samegrelo

0 - 5
FT
FC Gardabani Logo

FC Gardabani

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Gardabani in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gardabani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Samegrelo
15%
Draws
28%
FC Gardabani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samegrelo lately — more wins on the board than FC Gardabani.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Samegrelo taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo FC Gardabani
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.56 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2018 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Samegrelo
1:5
May 28, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs FC Gardabani
2:2
Nov 15, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs FC Gardabani
0:5
Oct 4, 2017 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Samegrelo
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 85 / 100
FC Gardabani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo FC Gardabani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samegrelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samegrelo scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

FC Gardabani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: FC Gardabani registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Gardabani
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samegrelo

(Home)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
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FC Gardabani

(Away)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
FC Gardabani
1 : 2
Didube
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)