Sport Picks

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Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mark Stars Tbilisi in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mark Stars Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Samegrelo
15%
Draws
53%
Mark Stars Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mark Stars Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mark Stars Tbilisi average 1.8 goals a game right now, well clear of Samegrelo's 1.63.
  • Win probability leans Samegrelo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mark Stars Tbilisi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 20%
Mark Stars Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Mark Stars Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
5:0
Jun 3, 2018 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
4:0
Sep 7, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 36 / 100
Mark Stars Tbilisi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Mark Stars Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Mark Stars Tbilisi let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Samegrelo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samegrelo VS Mark Stars Tbilisi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Samegrelo

(Home)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
Page 1 of 6

Mark Stars Tbilisi

(Away)
06 Dec
Mark Stars Tbilisi
4 : 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
30 Nov
Sulori Vani
1 : 0
Mark Stars Tbilisi
20 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 0
Borjomi
12 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi
06 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 1
Gori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)