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Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mark Stars Tbilisi in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mark Stars Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Samegrelo
30%
Draws
34%
Mark Stars Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mark Stars Tbilisi have won more games recently than Samegrelo.
  • Win probability leans Samegrelo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mark Stars Tbilisi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 20%
Mark Stars Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Mark Stars Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
5:0
Jun 3, 2018 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
4:0
Sep 7, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 36 / 100
Mark Stars Tbilisi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Mark Stars Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Mark Stars Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Samegrelo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samegrelo VS Mark Stars Tbilisi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shevardeni Tbilisi18134149:1043
2Telavi18123356:1539
3Merani Tbilisi18123345:2139
4FC Gardabani1894540:1831
5Mark Stars Tbilisi1873837:3224
6Khoni1856713:2621
7Chiatura18521115:3317
8Betlemi Keda18441023:4416
9FC Kolkheti Khobi1834119:3913
10Samegrelo18151212:618