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Samegrelo vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Samegrelo Logo

Samegrelo

1 - 5
FT
Merani Tbilisi Logo

Merani Tbilisi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Samegrelo and Merani Tbilisi finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Samegrelo
20%
Draws
36%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Very High Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi haven't matched Samegrelo's recent run of results.
  • Samegrelo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 19%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Merani Tbilisi
1:5
Sep 19, 2017 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 67 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Merani Tbilisi has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Samegrelo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merani Tbilisi
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Samegrelo

(Home)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
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Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
06 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Didube
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 1
Orbi
14 Jun
WIT Georgia
0 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
28 May
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 2
FC Tbilisi 2025
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)