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Samegrelo vs Merani Tbilisi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Samegrelo Logo

Samegrelo

1 - 5
FT
Merani Tbilisi Logo

Merani Tbilisi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Samegrelo and Merani Tbilisi finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Samegrelo
15%
Draws
58%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi haven't matched Samegrelo's recent run of results.
  • Merani Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 19%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Merani Tbilisi
1:5
Sep 19, 2017 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 10 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Samegrelo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Merani Tbilisi has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Samegrelo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merani Tbilisi
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samegrelo

(Home)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
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Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)