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Samger vs Dutch Lions

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Samger
35%
Draws
24%
Dutch Lions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dutch Lions lately — more wins on the board than Samger.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Samger taking it.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%
Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samger Dutch Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 14 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Dutch Lions
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 GFA League
Dutch Lions vs Samger
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samger 59 / 100
Dutch Lions 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samger Dutch Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samger has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dutch Lions's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Samger scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Dutch Lions has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samger VS Dutch Lions
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Samger

(Home)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

Dutch Lions

(Away)
22 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 3
Brikama United
17 Jun
Medina United
2 : 1
Dutch Lions
11 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 4
TMT
06 Jun
Gambia Ports
1 : 0
Dutch Lions
25 May
Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Hawks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)