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Samgurali II vs FC Gardabani

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Samgurali II Logo

Samgurali II

1 - 1
FT
FC Gardabani Logo

FC Gardabani

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2018 game between Samgurali II and FC Gardabani finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Samgurali II
15%
Draws
28%
FC Gardabani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samgurali II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Samgurali II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Samgurali II a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Samgurali II Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali II FC Gardabani
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.2 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2018 Liga 3
Samgurali II vs FC Gardabani
1:1
Apr 12, 2018 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Samgurali II
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali II 85 / 100
FC Gardabani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali II FC Gardabani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samgurali II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gardabani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Samgurali II's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: FC Gardabani has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Gardabani
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali II

(Home)
21 Jul
Samgurali II
0 : 2
Gagra
10 Jun
Real Varketili 2
1 : 5
Samgurali II
21 Apr
Samgurali II
1 : 3
Telavi
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Dusheti
5 : 0
Samgurali II
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FC Gardabani

(Away)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
FC Gardabani
1 : 2
Didube
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)