Sport Picks
Samgurali vs Meshakhte Tkibuli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo 
AI Match Summary
Samgurali host Meshakhte Tkibuli in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Samgurali at 1.5 goals for, 1.9 against; Meshakhte Tkibuli at 0.79 for, 1.76 against. Head-to-head, Samgurali have won 4 to Meshakhte Tkibuli's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Samgurali. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Samgurali come out ahead of Meshakhte Tkibuli on wins alone.
- 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Samgurali have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samgurali | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Samgurali scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Meshakhte Tkibuli has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Samgurali stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Samgurali
(Home)Meshakhte Tkibuli
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45:30 | 48 |
| 2 | Dinamo Batumi | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Rustavi | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 32:23 | 46 |
| 4 | Iberia 1999 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 38:30 | 46 |
| 5 | Dila Gori | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 40 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 36 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 38:52 | 32 |
| 8 | Gagra | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:37 | 29 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 34:43 | 25 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 20:44 | 17 |
