Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sammaurese vs Teramo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bertani R.
22' Event
Merlonghi M.
88' Event
Njambe M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sammaurese in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sammaurese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sammaurese
35%
Draws
45%
Teramo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sammaurese haven't matched Teramo's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Teramo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sammaurese Clean Sheet 14%
Teramo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sammaurese Teramo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 21
Draws 7 10
Losses 19 2
Goals Scored 0.83 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs Teramo
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Sammaurese
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sammaurese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertani R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merlonghi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Teramo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sammaurese 11 / 100
Teramo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sammaurese Teramo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Teramo conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Sammaurese scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sammaurese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sammaurese VS Teramo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sammaurese

(Home)
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0
Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Teramo

(Away)
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1
Teramo
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)