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Samoa U16 vs Fiji U16

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U16
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samoa U16 play Fiji U16 in the OFC Championship U16. It looks like a close match. Recently, Samoa U16 averaged 2.36 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. Fiji U16 averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Samoa U16 won 0, Fiji U16 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 10, 2018 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Samoa U16 and 2.31 for Fiji U16. This points to a Fiji U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Samoa U16
15%
Draws
55%
Fiji U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiji U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Samoa U16 picked up more points recently compared to Fiji U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Samoa U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Fiji U16 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samoa U16 Fiji U16
Matches Played 14 15
Wins 6 9
Draws 1 0
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.36 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2018 OFC Championship U16
Samoa U16 vs Fiji U16
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samoa U16 29 / 100
Fiji U16 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samoa U16 Fiji U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiji U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Fiji U16 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Samoa U16 attacking → ← attacking Fiji U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samoa U16 scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

Fiji U16 let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Samoa U16 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fiji U16 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 27
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13