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Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Boavista U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Carioca U20
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Match Events

2' Event
45' Event
75' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 game between Sampaio Correa FE U20 and Boavista U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sampaio Correa FE U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
30%
Draws
41%
Boavista U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boavista U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sampaio Correa FE U20's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Boavista U20 have produced (1).
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Carioca U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa FE U20 Boavista U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Boavista U20
3:1
Sep 12, 2025 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
2:2
Jul 6, 2024 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
1:0
Mar 27, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Boavista U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE U20 31 / 100
Boavista U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Boavista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boavista U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boavista U20 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sampaio Correa FE U20 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Sampaio Correa FE U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE U20 VS Boavista U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Home)
10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Madureira U20
02 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
Page 1 of 6

Boavista U20

(Away)
09 Oct
Boavista U20
1 : 4
Bangu U20
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
13 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 10 8 2 0 26:7 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 9 8 0 1 25:8 24
3 Vasco U20 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
4 Botafogo RJ U20 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 4 3 3 13:18 15
6 Bangu U20 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
7 Nova Iguacu U20 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
8 Madureira U20 10 1 7 2 11:14 10
9 Marica U20 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
10 Boavista U20 10 2 2 6 12:21 8
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)