Sport Picks
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
Brazil
Copa Rio U20 2025 
Match Events
17'
17'
Wdson
(Penalty)
43'
43'
Renan Santos
82'
82'
Bruno Franco
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Nova Iguacu U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nova Iguacu U20 come out ahead of Sampaio Correa FE U20 on wins alone.
- Sampaio Correa FE U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Nova Iguacu U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nova Iguacu U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | Nova Iguacu U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2025 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
2:0
May 4, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67
Nova Iguacu U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Renan Santos
1 Goals Assists Leader Bruno Franco
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sampaio Correa FE U20 58 / 100
Nova Iguacu U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Nova Iguacu U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sampaio Correa FE U20 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Nova Iguacu U20 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Sampaio Correa FE U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sampaio Correa FE U20 VS Nova Iguacu U20
1.33 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sampaio Correa FE U20
(Home) 11 Oct
Madureira U20
2 : 1 Sampaio Correa FE U20
04 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu U20
27 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE U20
20 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1 Bangu U20
12 Sept
Boavista U20
2 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu U20
20 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1 Bangu U20
06 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
0 : 0 Marica U20
23 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 0 Portuguesa RJ U20
09 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1 Volta Redonda U20
Page 1 of 3
Nova Iguacu U20
(Away) 04 Apr
Cabofriense U20
4 : 1 Nova Iguacu U20
29 Mar
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0 Sampaio Correa U20
25 Mar
Marica U20
1 : 3 Nova Iguacu U20
21 Mar
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 1 Vasco U20
18 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 0 Nova Iguacu U20
Page 1 of 7
04 Apr
Cabofriense U20
4 : 1 Nova Iguacu U20
25 Mar
Marica U20
1 : 3 Nova Iguacu U20
18 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 0 Nova Iguacu U20
07 Mar
Madureira U20
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu U20
11 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1 Nova Iguacu U20
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo RJ U20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Vasco U20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Marica U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Boavista U20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 5 | America RJ U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Artsul U20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 7 | Americano RJ U20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 8 | Bangu U20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Resende U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ U20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Fluminense U20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Nova Iguacu U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Madureira U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Volta Redonda U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:13 | 5 |
| 8 | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)