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Sampaio Correa FE vs Madureira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE Logo

Sampaio Correa FE

1 - 1
FT
Madureira Logo

Madureira

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Elias
55' Event
Guilherme Fontenelle
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sampaio Correa FE
35%
Draws
15%
Madureira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sampaio Correa FE come out ahead of Madureira on wins alone.
  • Sampaio Correa FE are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Sampaio Correa FE have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sampaio Correa FE, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 68%
Madureira Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa FE Madureira
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Madureira vs Sampaio Correa FE
0:2
Sep 16, 2026 Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE vs Madureira
1:1
Jan 22, 2026 Carioca
Madureira vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Carioca
Sampaio Correa FE vs Madureira
4:2
Mar 12, 2025 Carioca
Madureira vs Sampaio Correa FE
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Top Goalscorer Elias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Madureira Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Fontenelle
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE 77 / 100
Madureira 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa FE Madureira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampaio Correa FE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sampaio Correa FE scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Madureira conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Sampaio Correa FE has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE VS Madureira
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampaio Correa FE

(Home)
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2
Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1
Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1
Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
Page 1 of 7

Madureira

(Away)
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2
Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1
Madureira
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0
Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0
Madureira
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3