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Sampaio Correa FE vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Lourival Gomes
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Andre
26'
Alexandre Souza
39'
MT

AI Match Summary

Sampaio Correa FE play Operario-PR in the Copa Sul-Sudeste. Operario-PR are favorites here. Recently, Sampaio Correa FE averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Operario-PR averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Sampaio Correa FE won 0, Operario-PR won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Sampaio Correa FE and 1.00 for Operario-PR. This points to a Operario-PR double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sampaio Correa FE
28%
Draws
50%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Operario-PR has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sampaio Correa FE.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Operario-PR.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Sul-Sudeste provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 23%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa FE Operario-PR
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Sampaio Correa FE vs Operario-PR
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Gama
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu Mosconi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Galdino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE 24 / 100
Operario-PR 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa FE Operario-PR

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OPE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Operario-PR let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sampaio Correa FE went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Operario-PR lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE VS Operario-PR
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chapecoense-SC64118:513
2Novorizontino63218:511
3SER Caxias do Sul63216:311
4Cianorte62229:108
5Tombense612311:135
6Sampaio Correa FE61237:95
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avai631210:810
2Volta Redonda63129:810
3Operario-PR62315:49
4America MG622211:118
5EC Juventude61144:94
6Sao Bernardo60336:93