Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampaio Correa FE vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Lourival Gomes, Saquarema
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Andre
26'
Alexandre Souza
39'
MT

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sampaio Correa FE
30%
Draws
37%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Operario-PR arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario-PR, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 23%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa FE Operario-PR
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Sampaio Correa FE vs Operario-PR
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Gama
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu Mosconi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Galdino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE 33 / 100
Operario-PR 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa FE Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sampaio Correa FE scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Operario-PR let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sampaio Correa FE went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE VS Operario-PR
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampaio Correa FE

(Home)
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2
Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1
Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1
Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
Page 1 of 6

Operario-PR

(Away)
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)