Sport Picks

Brazil

Carioca Estadio Lourival Gomes

Sampaio Correa FE

3 - 2

Portuguesa RJ

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Matheus Goiano

24'

Lohan

28'

Gutemberg

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sampaio Correa FE in this Carioca matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampaio Correa FE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Sampaio Correa FE

30%

Draws

34%

Portuguesa RJ

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Sampaio Correa FE haven't matched Portuguesa RJ's recent run of results.
36% — that's where the model lands on Sampaio Correa FE taking it.
Regular Carioca form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 20%

Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sampaio Correa FE	Portuguesa RJ
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	11
Draws	8	12
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	0.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Carioca

Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa FE

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 4 - 4

2:0

Feb 20, 2026 Carioca

Sampaio Correa FE vs Portuguesa RJ

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Feb 23, 2025 Carioca

Sampaio Correa FE vs Portuguesa RJ

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Jan 24, 2024 Carioca

Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa FE

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Sep 6, 2023 Copa Rio

Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa FE

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Gama

1 Goals

Assists Leader Agu

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Portuguesa RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian

1 Goals

Assists Leader Guilherme Santos

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa FE 36 / 100

Portuguesa RJ 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sampaio Correa FE Portuguesa RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sampaio Correa FE's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Portuguesa RJ has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Sampaio Correa FE has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa FE VS Portuguesa RJ

0.63 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

38% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
2	Sampaio Correa FE	6	3	1	2	10:8	10
3	Nova Iguacu	6	1	4	1	7:6	7
4	Marica	6	1	1	4	6:15	4