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Sampaio Correa vs Viana Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025 Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Adriano

AI Match Summary

Sampaio Correa in this Maranhense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sampaio Correa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Sampaio Correa
15%
Draws
8%
Viana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sampaio Correa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sampaio Correa lately — more wins on the board than Viana.
  • Sampaio Correa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Sampaio Correa Clean Sheet 20%
Viana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampaio Correa Viana
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 13 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.41 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Viana
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Maranhense
Viana vs Sampaio Correa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampaio Correa Compare

Top Goalscorer Adriano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Viana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampaio Correa 85 / 100
Viana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampaio Correa Viana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampaio Correa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Viana let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sampaio Correa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sampaio Correa VS Viana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampaio Correa

(Home)
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
07 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 1
Iguatu
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 May
Sampaio Correa
4 : 0
Moto Club
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Viana

(Away)
04 Jul
Viana
0 : 4
Lago Verde
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
14 Jun
Lago Verde
7 : 1
Viana
07 Jun
Viana
0 : 0
Pinheiro
23 Apr
Tuntum
4 : 0
Viana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)