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Sampdoria vs Arezzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sampdoria host Arezzo in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sampdoria at 0.9 goals for, 1.27 against; Arezzo at 1.36 for, 1.39 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring Arezzo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sampdoria
15%
Draws
49%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arezzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Arezzo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sampdoria taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Arezzo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 50 / 100
Arezzo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampdoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampdoria scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Arezzo conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Arezzo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Solid form: Sampdoria remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Arezzo
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

Arezzo

(Away)
10 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 0
Cremonese
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Mantova 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
3 Modena 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
5 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
10 Padova 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Carrarese 6 1 1 4 4:6 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19 Catanzaro 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)