Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampdoria vs Bari

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Artioli F.
26' Event
Moncini G.
Assist: Esteves T.
40'
Palma M.

AI Match Summary

Bari in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sampdoria
30%
Draws
34%
Bari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sampdoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bari haven't matched Sampdoria's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sampdoria taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 20%
Bari Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Bari
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Bari
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Serie B
Bari vs Sampdoria
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie B
Bari vs Sampdoria
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Bari
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 Serie B
Bari vs Sampdoria
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sampdoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bari Compare

Top Goalscorer Moncini G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bellomo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 36 / 100
Bari 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Bari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampdoria found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Bari has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Sampdoria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Bari
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Novara
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
18 Jul
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Taverne
08 May
Reggiana
1 : 0
Sampdoria
01 May
Sampdoria
1 : 0
Sudtirol
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Bari

(Away)
28 Jul
Lanciano
0 : 1
Bari
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Bari
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)