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Sampdoria vs Sestri Levante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Mon, Aug 11, 2025
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sampdoria host Sestri Levante in the Club Friendly 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sestri Levante have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Sampdoria have conceded 1.17 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Sampdoria slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 11, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.38, favoring Sestri Levante. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sampdoria
20%
Draws
40%
Sestri Levante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sestri Levante carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sampdoria's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 17%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampdoria Sestri Levante
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Sampdoria vs Sestri Levante
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampdoria 36 / 100
Sestri Levante 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampdoria Sestri Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Sampdoria's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sestri Levante lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sampdoria VS Sestri Levante
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampdoria

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
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Sestri Levante

(Away)
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
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