Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sampion Celje vs Dobrovce

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 game between Sampion Celje and Dobrovce finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dobrovce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sampion Celje
15%
Draws
51%
Dobrovce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dobrovce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dobrovce come out ahead of Sampion Celje on wins alone.
  • Sampion Celje are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 17%
Dobrovce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sampion Celje Dobrovce
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.78 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Dobrovce
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Dobrovce
1:3
Aug 24, 2024 3. SNL - East
Dobrovce vs Sampion Celje
1:4
Apr 27, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs Dobrovce
3:0
Oct 14, 2023 3. SNL - East
Dobrovce vs Sampion Celje
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sampion Celje 48 / 100
Dobrovce 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sampion Celje Dobrovce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampion Celje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dobrovce let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Sampion Celje scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Dobrovce's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sampion Celje VS Dobrovce
1.43 Goals Scored 0.88
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sampion Celje

(Home)
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Sampion Celje
1 : 1
Podvinci
Page 1 of 6

Dobrovce

(Away)
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Dobrovce
1 : 3
Odranci
06 Sept
SD Videm
2 : 3
Dobrovce
29 Aug
Fuzinar
5 : 1
Dobrovce
22 Aug
Limbus-Pekre
3 : 1
Dobrovce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krsko Posavje 26 17 3 6 64:26 54
2 NK Brezice 26 15 5 6 54:32 50
3 SD Videm 26 15 4 7 48:30 49
4 NK Smartno 26 12 4 10 69:54 40
5 Hajdina 26 11 6 9 45:39 39
6 Ljutomer 26 11 5 10 34:43 38
7 Korotan Prevalje 26 10 6 10 39:42 36
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 9 9 8 43:47 36
9 Zavrc 26 9 7 10 44:44 34
10 Podvinci 26 7 11 8 36:38 32
11 Fuzinar 26 9 3 14 40:45 30
12 Dobrovce 26 9 3 14 43:51 30
13 Starse 26 6 5 15 33:62 23
14 Sampion Celje 26 5 3 18 29:68 18
Promotion - 2. SNL 2025/2026 (Main)