Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samsunspor vs Eyupspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Marius
Assist: Aydogdu S.
33' Event
Aydogdu S.
Assist: Mendes J.
39'
Ay O.

AI Match Summary

Samsunspor in this Turkish Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samsunspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Samsunspor
44%
Draws
20%
Eyupspor
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Eyupspor haven't matched Samsunspor's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Cup games in Turkish Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Samsunspor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 14%
Eyupspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samsunspor Eyupspor
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Super Lig
Eyupspor vs Samsunspor
1:2
Dec 24, 2025 Turkish Cup
Samsunspor vs Eyupspor
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Eyupspor
1:0
May 4, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Eyupspor
3:0
Dec 8, 2024 Super Lig
Eyupspor vs Samsunspor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samsunspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Marius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aydogdu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Eyupspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Baran B. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samsunspor 35 / 100
Eyupspor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samsunspor Eyupspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EYU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Eyupspor conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Samsunspor scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Samsunspor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samsunspor VS Eyupspor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133