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Samsunspor vs Goztepe

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Mon, Aug 17, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samsunspor host Goztepe in the Super Lig. This one's hard to separate. Samsunspor have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Goztepe's 1.5 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Samsunspor slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.44) back Goztepe to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Samsunspor
40%
Draws
29%
Goztepe
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Samsunspor have won more games recently than Goztepe.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 16%
Goztepe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samsunspor Goztepe
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Goztepe
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 Super Lig
Goztepe vs Samsunspor
2:0
Mar 3, 2025 Super Lig
Goztepe vs Samsunspor
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Goztepe
4:3
Apr 7, 2023 1. Lig
Goztepe vs Samsunspor
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samsunspor 31 / 100
Goztepe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samsunspor Goztepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Samsunspor found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Goztepe has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Samsunspor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samsunspor VS Goztepe
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samsunspor

(Home)
01 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 2
Samsunspor
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2
Samsunspor
25 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 0
Samsunspor
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
16 May
Samsunspor
3 : 0
Goztepe
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Goztepe

(Away)
26 Jul
Goztepe
1 : 1
Rudes
23 Jul
Zorya
1 : 2
Goztepe
19 Jul
Goztepe
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
16 Jul
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 2
Goztepe
13 Jul
HNK Gorica
0 : 2
Goztepe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Gaziantep 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Samsunspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Alanyaspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Amedspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Eyupspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Galatasaray 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Fenerbahce 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Besiktas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Konyaspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Genclerbirligi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Rizespor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Kasimpasa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Kocaelispor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Basaksehir 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Goztepe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Erzurumspor FK 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Corum FK 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)