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Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
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Match Events

7'
Tomasson L.
27'
Sub
Yuksel C. In: Kayan Y.
Out: Yuksel C.
28' Event
Muci E.
Assist: Eskihellac M.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trabzonspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Samsunspor
15%
Draws
85%
Trabzonspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trabzonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Trabzonspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Trabzonspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 12%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samsunspor Trabzonspor
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
0:3
Apr 23, 2026 Turkish Cup
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
1:1
May 25, 2025 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samsunspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Trabzonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Muci E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nwaiwu C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samsunspor 10 / 100
Trabzonspor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samsunspor Trabzonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trabzonspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samsunspor found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Trabzonspor let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Trabzonspor's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Samsunspor VS Trabzonspor
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samsunspor

(Home)
10 Oct
Samsunspor
0 : 3
Trabzonspor
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
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Trabzonspor

(Away)
10 Oct
Samsunspor
0 : 3
Trabzonspor
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0
Galatasaray
12 Sept
Konyaspor
1 : 0
Trabzonspor
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5 : 0
Genclerbirligi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
4 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
6 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
9 Rizespor 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
12 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
13 Erzurumspor FK 7 2 2 3 3:11 8
14 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
15 Konyaspor 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
16 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)