Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samtredia vs Bolnisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Lazarevs V. In: Labadze A.
Out: Lazarevs V.
12'
Jangidze T.
15' Event
Makatsaria T.
Assist: Mandzhgaladze G.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between Samtredia and Bolnisi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samtredia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
26%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bolnisi come out ahead of Samtredia on wins alone.
  • Samtredia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 68%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Bolnisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
3:2
May 2, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Bolnisi
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Bolnisi
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Makatsaria T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bolnisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gazdeliani R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 95 / 100
Bolnisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Samtredia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bolnisi conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Samtredia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Bolnisi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
08 Aug
Dusheti
2 : 4
Samtredia
26 Jul
Samtredia
2 : 1
Shturmi
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Samtredia
13 Jun
Samtredia
2 : 2
Kolkheti 1913
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Bolnisi

(Away)
08 Aug
Gori
4 : 1
Bolnisi
25 Jul
Gori
1 : 0
Bolnisi
18 Jul
Bolnisi
1 : 3
BKMA
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Dusheti
3 : 2
Bolnisi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 20 11 7 2 24:12 40
2 Telavi 20 10 6 4 22:15 36
3 Shturmi 20 7 9 4 19:15 30
4 Merani Martvili 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
5 Odishi 1919 20 7 6 7 25:27 27
6 Dusheti 20 7 4 9 20:27 25
7 Bolnisi 20 6 7 7 26:24 25
8 Gori 20 4 7 9 17:25 19
9 Samtredia 20 5 4 11 29:38 19
10 Kolkheti 1913 20 4 6 10 25:26 18
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)