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Samtredia vs Dusheti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samtredia host Dusheti in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dusheti have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Samtredia have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Samtredia slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:4. xG projections (2.00 - 0.75) back Samtredia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
21%
Dusheti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Samtredia at 1.88 per game, Dusheti at 1.42.
  • Win probability leans Samtredia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 20%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Dusheti
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Samtredia
2:4
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Dusheti
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Samtredia
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Georgian Cup
Dusheti vs Samtredia
0:2
Feb 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Samtredia vs Dusheti
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 85 / 100
Dusheti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Dusheti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samtredia scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Dusheti let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

Solid form: Samtredia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Dusheti
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
10 Oct
Samtredia
3 : 0
Bolnisi
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 7

Dusheti

(Away)
10 Oct
Dusheti
1 : 4
Telavi
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Dusheti
0 : 1
Odishi 1919
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)