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Samtredia vs FC Gareji Sagarejo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Samtredia Logo

Samtredia

6 - 1
FT
FC Gareji Sagarejo Logo

FC Gareji Sagarejo

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gogitadze L.
Assist: Kveladze G.
27'
Lopez B.
28' Event
Gulisashvili I.
Assist: Gugberidze B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between Samtredia and FC Gareji Sagarejo finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samtredia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
26%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Gareji Sagarejo come out ahead of Samtredia on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
6:1
May 30, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Samtredia
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Georgian Cup
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Samtredia
5:0
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Samtredia vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogitadze L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chikovani T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulisashvili I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 85 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia FC Gareji Sagarejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samtredia scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: FC Gareji Sagarejo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Samtredia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
10 Oct
Samtredia
3 : 0
Bolnisi
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Away)
10 Oct
Odishi 1919
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)