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Samtredia vs Odishi 1919

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samtredia play Odishi 1919 in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Samtredia averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Odishi 1919 averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Samtredia won 2, Odishi 1919 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Samtredia and 1.38 for Odishi 1919. This points to a Odishi 1919 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Samtredia
22%
Draws
48%
Odishi 1919
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Odishi 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Samtredia picked up more points recently compared to Odishi 1919.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 17%
Odishi 1919 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Odishi 1919
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Odishi 1919
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Georgian Cup
Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia
0:3
Apr 3, 2003 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Odishi 1919
1:5
Sep 24, 2002 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikovani T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odikadze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Odishi 1919 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 30 / 100
Odishi 1919 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Odishi 1919

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Odishi 1919 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Samtredia attacking → ← attacking Odishi 1919

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Odishi 1919 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Samtredia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Odishi 1919 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 53
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616