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Samtredia vs Shturmi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samtredia host Shturmi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Samtredia at 1.83 goals for, 1.34 against; Shturmi at 1.13 for, 0.9 against. Head-to-head, Samtredia have won 2 to Shturmi's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.00, favoring Samtredia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
45%
Shturmi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samtredia lately — more wins on the board than Shturmi.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 20%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Shturmi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Samtredia
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Samtredia vs Shturmi
2:1
May 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Shturmi
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Samtredia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 49 / 100
Shturmi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Shturmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Samtredia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Shturmi conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS Shturmi
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
10 Oct
Samtredia
3 : 0
Bolnisi
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

Shturmi

(Away)
17 Oct
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Shturmi
10 Oct
Shturmi
2 : 0
Kolkheti 1913
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)