Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samtredia vs Shukura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium, Samtredia
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ubilava D.
6' Event
Mujiri D.
Assist: Kavtaradze G.
13'
Kamladze I.

AI Match Summary

Samtredia in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samtredia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Samtredia
15%
Draws
0%
Shukura
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samtredia lately — more wins on the board than Shukura.
  • Samtredia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 15%
Shukura Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtredia Shukura
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 2
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 2.09 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Shukura vs Samtredia
0:9
Sep 17, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Shukura
4:2
May 24, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Shukura vs Samtredia
2:2
Apr 8, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Shukura
0:2
Nov 13, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shukura vs Samtredia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ubilava D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mishov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Shukura Compare

Top Goalscorer Mujiri D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gogolashvili G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtredia 84 / 100
Shukura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtredia Shukura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Shukura has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Difficult form: Shukura registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samtredia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtredia

(Home)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 7

Shukura

(Away)
02 Dec
Shukura
0 : 9
Gagra
28 Nov
Torpedo Kutaisi
9 : 0
Shukura
24 Nov
Shukura
0 : 9
Samtredia
10 Nov
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 2
Shukura
04 Nov
Shukura
1 : 2
Dila Gori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 36 21 11 4 83:41 74
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 36 21 8 7 93:49 71
3 Torpedo Kutaisi 36 16 12 8 55:37 60
4 Dila Gori 36 17 9 10 56:39 60
5 Samgurali 36 16 9 11 53:51 57
6 Iberia 1999 36 14 9 13 58:49 51
7 Gagra 36 10 8 18 47:65 38
8 Telavi 36 10 7 19 34:62 37
9 Samtredia 36 9 6 21 50:62 33
10 Shukura 36 4 5 27 38:112 11
Promotion - Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)