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Samtse vs Ugyen Academy

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2012/2013 game between Samtse and Ugyen Academy finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ugyen Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Samtse
15%
Draws
0%
Ugyen Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ugyen Academy come out ahead of Samtse on wins alone.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Ugyen Academy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ugyen Academy have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Samtse Clean Sheet 18%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samtse Ugyen Academy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.63 1.41
Goals Conceded 4.2 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Samtse
3:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
Samtse vs Ugyen Academy
4:3
Feb 23, 2013 Premier League
Samtse vs Ugyen Academy
1:2
Jan 13, 2013 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Samtse
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samtse 10 / 100
Ugyen Academy 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samtse Ugyen Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ugyen Academy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ugyen Academy has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ugyen Academy registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Samtse's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ugyen Academy
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Samtse

(Home)
03 Oct
Samtse
0 : 2
Tensung
25 Sept
RTC
12 : 1
Samtse
23 Sept
Samtse
1 : 10
Thimphu City
17 Sept
Samtse
1 : 9
Transport United
13 Sept
Samtse
9 : 0
Southern City
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Ugyen Academy

(Away)
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
16 Aug
Ugyen Academy
2 : 3
Tensung
05 Aug
Ugyen Academy
0 : 1
BFF Academy U19
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