Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Sosiashvili L.
24'
24'
Markozashvili T.
43'
43'
Sosiashvili L.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Samtskhe in this Georgian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtskhe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Betlemi Keda lately — more wins on the board than Samtskhe.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Samtskhe taking it.
- Betlemi Keda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Samtskhe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Samtskhe Clean Sheet 20%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samtskhe | Betlemi Keda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2025 Georgian Cup
Samtskhe vs Betlemi Keda
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samtskhe Compare
Top Goalscorer Sosiashvili L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Markozashvili T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Betlemi Keda Compare
Top Goalscorer Ashba S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samtskhe 85 / 100
Betlemi Keda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samtskhe Betlemi Keda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Samtskhe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Betlemi Keda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
Samtskhe scored in 75% of their last 4 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Betlemi Keda lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Samtskhe VS Betlemi Keda
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Samtskhe
(Home) 27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2 Gagra
26 Jun
Samtskhe
4 : 1 Didube
19 Jul
Samtskhe
0 : 1 Odishi 1919
20 Jun
Samtskhe
2 : 1 Betlemi Keda
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2 Gagra
26 Jun
Samtskhe
4 : 1 Didube
19 Jul
Samtskhe
0 : 1 Odishi 1919
20 Jun
Samtskhe
2 : 1 Betlemi Keda
Betlemi Keda
(Away) 17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2 Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5 Margveti 2006
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1 Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5 Guria
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2 Betlemi Keda
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1 Betlemi Keda
13 Aug
Didube
5 : 0 Betlemi Keda
26 Jun
Iveria Khashuri
5 : 4 Betlemi Keda
15 Jun
FC Tbilisi 2025
7 : 1 Betlemi Keda
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
TBD -
TBD -
Gagra -
UG-35 3
Skuri Tsalenjikha 1
TBD -
Merani Martvili -
Iberia 1999 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Algeti Marneuli 3
Orbi 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 0
Shturmi 4
Locomotive Tbilisi -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 -
Margveti 2006 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
Gagra 2 2
WIT Georgia 2 0
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Gonio -
TBD -
TBD -
Samgurali -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Spaeri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kolkheti 1913 -
Didube 2
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Iberia 1999 2 -
FC Rustavi -
TBD -
TBD -
Telavi -
Samtskhe 2
Betlemi Keda 1
FC Rustavi 2 0
Odishi 1919 1
Samtredia -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
1/16-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Gagra 1
UG-35 2
Merani Martvili 8
Iberia 1999 -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Algeti Marneuli 0
Shturmi 8
Locomotive Tbilisi 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 2
Bolnisi 3
Gagra 2 0
Dinamo Batumi 5
Gonio 0
Samgurali 1
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Spaeri -
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Kolkheti 1913 2
WIT Georgia 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
FC Rustavi 1
Telavi 0
Samtskhe 0
Odishi 1919 1
Samtredia 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
1/8-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli 3
Merani Martvili 1
Iberia 1999 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 1
Shturmi 1
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
Bolnisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 3
Samgurali 0
Dila Gori 1
Spaeri 4
Kolkheti 1913 2
Iberia 1999 2 2
FC Rustavi 3
Odishi 1919 0
Samtredia 3
Quarter-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Iberia 1999 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 0
Dinamo Batumi 3
Dila Gori 2
Spaeri 1
FC Rustavi 1
Samtredia 2
Semi-finals
Iberia 1999 5
Dinamo Batumi 1
Dila Gori 2
Samtredia 0
Final
Iberia 1999 1
Dila Gori 3
