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Samut Prakan City vs Chonburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2024/2025
Sun, Jan 12, 2025
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samut Prakan City host Chonburi in the Thai League 2 2024/2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Samut Prakan City have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Chonburi's 1.75 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Samut Prakan City have won 0 to Chonburi's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 12, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.43, favoring Chonburi. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Samut Prakan City
30%
Draws
34%
Chonburi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Samut Prakan City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Chonburi have won more games recently than Samut Prakan City.
  • Model gives Samut Prakan City a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chonburi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Samut Prakan City Clean Sheet 17%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samut Prakan City Chonburi
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 1 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Thai League 2
Samut Prakan City vs Chonburi
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 Thai League 2
Chonburi vs Samut Prakan City
1:0
Dec 6, 2023 League Cup
Chonburi vs Samut Prakan City
2:0
Mar 20, 2022 Thai League 1
Samut Prakan City vs Chonburi
1:2
Nov 7, 2021 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Samut Prakan City
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samut Prakan City 36 / 100
Chonburi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samut Prakan City Chonburi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chonburi let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Samut Prakan City's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Samut Prakan City stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chonburi
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chonburi32196756:3063
2Ayutthaya United32179657:3060
3Phrae United32177861:3858
4Kanchanaburi321313653:3652
5Mahasarakham321391044:3948
6Lampang F.C.321391048:3948
7Kasetsart321112936:3745
8Bangkok FC321361342:5045
9Nakhon Si United321351451:5244
10Sisaket United3210111129:3941
11Chiangmai United3210101241:4840
12Police Tero321171439:4840
13Chanthaburi321081437:4838
14Chainat Hornbill328111332:3435
15Trat FC32961736:4933
16Pattaya United32881632:4732
17Suphanburi FC32572042:7222
18Samut Prakan City00000:00