Sport Picks
San Antonio FC vs El Paso Locomotive - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Toyota Field, San Antonio, TX 
Match Events
20'
20'
Mendez A.
Assist: Moreno A.
28'
28'
Twumasi K.
39'
39'
Mendez A.
AI Match Summary
El Paso Locomotive in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Paso Locomotive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Paso Locomotive
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Antonio FC haven't matched El Paso Locomotive's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans El Paso Locomotive's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- San Antonio FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 14%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Antonio FC | El Paso Locomotive |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs El Paso Locomotive
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio FC
2:3
Oct 26, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs El Paso Locomotive
5:2
Jul 5, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio FC
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
San Antonio FC vs El Paso Locomotive
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Antonio FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendez A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Farkarlun B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Antonio FC 10 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Antonio FC El Paso Locomotive
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
El Paso Locomotive has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
San Antonio FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
San Antonio FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Antonio FC VS El Paso Locomotive
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Antonio FC
(Home) 04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7 Darmstadt
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0 San Antonio FC
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7 Darmstadt
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
09 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
06 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
23 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 3
El Paso Locomotive
(Away) 03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
23 Aug
Colorado Springs
0 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
16 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
