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San Antonio FC vs Miami FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Cup Toyota Field, San Antonio, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Suarez S.
41'
Tori R.
44' Event
Parano C.
Assist: Hernandez J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
San Antonio FC
30%
Draws
56%
Miami FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Miami FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Miami FC haven't matched San Antonio FC's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Miami FC taking it.
  • San Antonio FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Miami FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 15%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio FC Miami FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 USL Cup
San Antonio FC vs Miami FC
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Miami FC
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Miami FC
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 USL Championship
Miami FC vs San Antonio FC
2:1
Jul 23, 2023 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Miami FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Antonio FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Parano C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Miami FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio FC 10 / 100
Miami FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio FC Miami FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miami FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miami FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

San Antonio FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Antonio FC scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

San Antonio FC VS Miami FC
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Antonio FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Oakland Roots
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0
San Antonio FC
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7
Darmstadt
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

Miami FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Miami FC
0 : 2
Loudoun United
03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2
Miami FC
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2
Miami FC
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2
Miami FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Charlotte Independence 2
Hartford Athletic 4
Spokane Velocity 1
Colorado Springs 2
San Antonio FC 2
Miami FC 1
Tampa Bay 0
Louisville City 1
Semi-finals
Hartford Athletic 2
Colorado Springs 1
San Antonio FC 0
Louisville City 1
Final
Hartford Athletic 0
Louisville City 1