Sport Picks
San Antonio FC vs Orange County SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Toyota Field, San Antonio, TX 
Match Events
15'
15'
Cuello E.
Assist: Blanco N.
20'
20'
Kelly S.
46'
46'
Sub
Wathuta S. In: Sylla O.
Out: Wathuta S.
AI Match Summary
San Antonio FC in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Antonio FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Antonio FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Antonio FC lately — more wins on the board than Orange County SC.
- Win probability leans San Antonio FC's way, sitting at 60%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 68%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Antonio FC | Orange County SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Orange County SC
2:1
Apr 9, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs San Antonio FC
2:0
Oct 16, 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs San Antonio FC
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Orange County SC
3:1
Jul 21, 2024 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs San Antonio FC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Antonio FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Cuello E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Parano C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Orange County SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Hegardt C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Antonio FC 68 / 100
Orange County SC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Antonio FC Orange County SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Antonio FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orange County SC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: San Antonio FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Orange County SC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Antonio FC VS Orange County SC
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Antonio FC
(Home) 25 Oct
San Antonio FC
2 : 1 Orange County SC
18 Oct
San Antonio FC
1 : 0 New Mexico
11 Oct
Oakland Roots
0 : 0 San Antonio FC
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7 Darmstadt
Page 1 of 7
25 Oct
San Antonio FC
2 : 1 Orange County SC
18 Oct
San Antonio FC
1 : 0 New Mexico
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7 Darmstadt
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
09 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 4
Orange County SC
(Away) 25 Oct
San Antonio FC
2 : 1 Orange County SC
18 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 3 Phoenix Rising
11 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1 Orange County SC
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
San Antonio FC
2 : 1 Orange County SC
11 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1 Orange County SC
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
26 Jul
Monterey Bay
1 : 2 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | 61 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | 53 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | 51 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | 47 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | 43 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | 42 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | 31 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | 30 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | 24 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
