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San Antonio Unido vs Melipilla

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Municipal de La Pintana
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Antonio Unido play Melipilla in the Segunda Division 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Antonio Unido averaged 1.79 goals scored and 2 conceded. Melipilla averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, San Antonio Unido won 2, Melipilla won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 26, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for San Antonio Unido and 1.88 for Melipilla. This points to a Melipilla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Antonio Unido
15%
Draws
49%
Melipilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melipilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • San Antonio Unido picked up more points recently compared to Melipilla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
San Antonio Unido Clean Sheet 10%
Melipilla Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio Unido Melipilla
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.93
Goals Conceded 2 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Melipilla vs San Antonio Unido
0:1
May 25, 2025 Segunda Division
San Antonio Unido vs Melipilla
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 Segunda Division
San Antonio Unido vs Melipilla
3:4
Mar 24, 2024 Segunda Division
Melipilla vs San Antonio Unido
1:0
Aug 5, 2023 Segunda Division
Melipilla vs San Antonio Unido
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Antonio Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuellar D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Melipilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Becica A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Inostroza B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio Unido 34 / 100
Melipilla 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio Unido Melipilla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Melipilla or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Antonio Unido attacking → ← attacking Melipilla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Antonio Unido scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Melipilla let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

San Antonio Unido went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Melipilla lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 52
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Puerto Montt24166254:1754
2Linares Unido24136539:2745
3Brujas Salamanca24116733:2739
4Osorno24116749:3436
5Provincial Ovalle24106824:2136
6Concon National241031144:3633
7General Velasquez2488829:3632
8Trasandino24911434:4228
9Real San Joaquin24641422:4322
10Santiago City24551435:5820
11Deportes Rengo24531622:5218
12Melipilla24124842:33-14
13San Antonio Unido24941148:49-27