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San Antonio Unido vs Osorno

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Municipal de La Pintana
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Antonio Unido play Osorno in the Segunda Division 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Antonio Unido averaged 1.79 goals scored and 2 conceded. Osorno averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, San Antonio Unido won 1, Osorno won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 4, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for San Antonio Unido and 1.81 for Osorno. This points to a Osorno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
San Antonio Unido
23%
Draws
45%
Osorno
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Osorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • San Antonio Unido picked up more points recently compared to Osorno.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
San Antonio Unido Clean Sheet 11%
Osorno Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Antonio Unido Osorno
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.79 1.69
Goals Conceded 2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Segunda Division
Osorno vs San Antonio Unido
2:1
May 3, 2025 Segunda Division
San Antonio Unido vs Osorno
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 Segunda Division
Osorno vs San Antonio Unido
1:1
Apr 15, 2024 Segunda Division
San Antonio Unido vs Osorno
3:2
Oct 7, 2023 Segunda Division
San Antonio Unido vs Osorno
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Antonio Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidalgo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Osorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielkiewicz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Antonio Unido 31 / 100
Osorno 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Antonio Unido Osorno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Osorno or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Antonio Unido attacking → ← attacking Osorno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Antonio Unido scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Osorno let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

San Antonio Unido went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Osorno lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 52
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Puerto Montt24166254:1754
2Linares Unido24136539:2745
3Brujas Salamanca24116733:2739
4Osorno24116749:3436
5Provincial Ovalle24106824:2136
6Concon National241031144:3633
7General Velasquez2488829:3632
8Trasandino24911434:4228
9Real San Joaquin24641422:4322
10Santiago City24551435:5820
11Deportes Rengo24531622:5218
12Melipilla24124842:33-14
13San Antonio Unido24941148:49-27