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San Carlos vs Saprissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Carlos host Saprissa in the Primera Division. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Saprissa have shipped 1.12 goals a game lately, while San Carlos have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Saprissa slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.25) back Saprissa to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
San Carlos
20%
Draws
33%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saprissa come out ahead of San Carlos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans San Carlos's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Saprissa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 19%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Carlos Saprissa
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 12 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.14 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs San Carlos
2:1
Mar 23, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Saprissa
1:3
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs San Carlos
2:1
Oct 16, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Saprissa
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs San Carlos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Carlos 36 / 100
Saprissa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Carlos Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Carlos scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Saprissa let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

San Carlos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Carlos VS Saprissa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Carlos

(Home)
20 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 3
San Carlos
14 Oct
San Carlos
1 : 2
Inter San Carlos
11 Oct
Herediano
0 : 1
San Carlos
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
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Saprissa

(Away)
22 Oct
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Saprissa
18 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Saprissa
16 Oct
Saprissa
6 : 0
Sporting FC
11 Oct
Escorpiones
1 : 0
Saprissa
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 12 8 0 4 26:12 24
2 Cartagines 12 8 0 4 23:14 24
3 Sporting FC 13 7 3 3 26:20 24
4 Alajuelense 12 5 4 3 20:14 19
5 San Carlos 12 6 1 5 13:14 19
6 Inter San Carlos 12 5 3 4 14:17 18
7 Puntarenas FC 12 4 3 5 12:18 15
8 Herediano 12 3 2 7 12:16 11
9 Escorpiones 13 3 1 9 14:22 10
10 Zeledon 12 2 3 7 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)