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San Clemente vs Marchamalo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Lozano D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between San Clemente and Marchamalo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Clemente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
San Clemente
15%
Draws
59%
Marchamalo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Marchamalo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Marchamalo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Marchamalo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
San Clemente Clean Sheet 19%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Clemente Marchamalo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
San Clemente vs Marchamalo
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs San Clemente
3:0
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs San Clemente
4:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
San Clemente vs Marchamalo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Clemente Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozano D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Marchamalo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Clemente 20 / 100
Marchamalo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Clemente Marchamalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Clemente scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Marchamalo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

San Clemente went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Clemente VS Marchamalo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Clemente

(Home)
10 May
San Clemente
0 : 2
Albacete B
03 May
La Solana
4 : 1
San Clemente
26 Apr
San Clemente
0 : 4
Toledo
19 Apr
Cazalegas
0 : 2
San Clemente
11 Apr
San Clemente
1 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6

Marchamalo

(Away)
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
15 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 1
Marchamalo
12 Aug
CD Daganzo
0 : 2
Marchamalo
10 May
Sonseca
1 : 0
Marchamalo
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4
Azuqueca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)