Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Diego FC vs Austin FC

USA USA

MLS Snapdragon Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Vazquez D.
Assist: Valakari O.
17' Event
Dreyer A.
Assist: Soma P.
44'
Bombino L.

AI Match Summary

San Diego FC host Austin FC in the MLS. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. San Diego FC have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Austin FC's 1.5 scored and 2.38 conceded. Head-to-head, San Diego FC have won 2 to Austin FC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.69, favoring San Diego FC. San Diego FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
San Diego FC
6%
Draws
4%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Diego FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Diego FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Austin FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for San Diego FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 13%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Diego FC Austin FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Austin FC
5:0
Jun 1, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Austin FC
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs San Diego FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dreyer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Austin FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Diego FC 84 / 100
Austin FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Diego FC Austin FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Diego FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Austin FC let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

San Diego FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Austin FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Diego FC VS Austin FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307